Since the win in Delhi elections, media has been projecting AAP as a third choice for national elections due in India in 2014. I am doubtful about that because of:
1. AAP was well entrenched in Delhi but it does not even had a presence outside Delhi till Dec 2013.
2. AAP got 1.5 years to prepare for Delhi Assembly elections. For national elections, they have only 3.5 months. Delhi is a city state with approx 1% of India's population.
3. AAP does not have a prime ministerial candidate.
4. AAP is playing secular + pro poor card. The vote bank for this framework typically belongs to Congress.
5. AAP does not have the ideology for the nation. Recent remarks by one of their party leaders on J&K back fired in a big way
6. AAP is yet to prove itself in Delhi. I hear that power cuts have already started in Delhi, thanks to 50% cut in electricity rates there. I hope and pray that it does not happen to water.
7. Some people have started putting AAP with Congress. If this is successful and BJP is able to effectively convey this message to electorate that voting for AAP could mean Congress coming back at the centre, it may not be good for AAP
However, urban places where middle class voter is disillusioned with BJP and Congress and in such places, if AAP has an effective candidate, it could win.
1. AAP was well entrenched in Delhi but it does not even had a presence outside Delhi till Dec 2013.
2. AAP got 1.5 years to prepare for Delhi Assembly elections. For national elections, they have only 3.5 months. Delhi is a city state with approx 1% of India's population.
3. AAP does not have a prime ministerial candidate.
4. AAP is playing secular + pro poor card. The vote bank for this framework typically belongs to Congress.
5. AAP does not have the ideology for the nation. Recent remarks by one of their party leaders on J&K back fired in a big way
6. AAP is yet to prove itself in Delhi. I hear that power cuts have already started in Delhi, thanks to 50% cut in electricity rates there. I hope and pray that it does not happen to water.
7. Some people have started putting AAP with Congress. If this is successful and BJP is able to effectively convey this message to electorate that voting for AAP could mean Congress coming back at the centre, it may not be good for AAP
However, urban places where middle class voter is disillusioned with BJP and Congress and in such places, if AAP has an effective candidate, it could win.
.jpg)